Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden has pretty much wrapped up the nomination and will take on President Donald Trump in November.
While Democrats feel confident that Biden can defeat Trump, a new poll reveals that support for the former vice president may be much softer than the media is letting on.
A new piece from PJ Media’s Stacey Lennox details how Team Trump has a gigantic social media following compared to that of Biden, and it should terrify Democrats going into November.
For example, Trump campaign manager Brad Parscale announced this week that over 1 million people requested tickets to see Trump’s rally.
Lennox details why this is such a big deal:
This is for a rally in an arena that holds 19,000. If the campaign holds true to form, there will be large screens for those unable to get a seat to watch from outside. But the key to the operation is in Parscale’s tweet. It is the biggest data haul to date.
What does this data give them? The opportunity to register people who are interested in the rally to vote who are not already registered. The ability to contact these potential voters throughout the rest of the campaign with updates and fundraising efforts. The information to ensure absentee ballots and in-person voting happen right through the close of the polls on Election Day.
This is just part of the robust digital effort the campaign is using.
Team Trump is trouncing Biden so badly that even the left-wing Washington Post published a piece last month detailing it:
In some ways, the Biden campaign is years behind on this kind of engagement. By this point in the 2012 campaign, Obama’s team had established a popular video series in which deputy campaign manager Stephanie Cutter shared good news and debunked Republican attacks. There’s no such block-and-tackle effort from the Biden social media experience, apart from the occasional tweet responding to the Trump campaign — and no Trump-style points for helping get the message out.
In comparing digital media engagement, Weigel also noted the following:
As of Thursday morning, the Biden campaign’s Cinco de Mayo broadcast had clocked 7,000 views on YouTube and 180,000 on Facebook, while the Trump campaign’s had clocked 11,000 and 900,000 views, respectively. Trump’s campaign has 29 million followers on Facebook, while Biden’s has less than 2 million.
The last three bullets matter. The 20% who have only voted in one of the last four elections and the 9% that have voted in none are unlikely to be polled. The share of registered Democrats and minorities should also give Democrats pause. All of those rally attendees were asked to engage in the more compelling digital campaign being run by Team Trump.
All of this information is also another sign of a large enthusiasm gap. In a recent poll, 70% of President Trump’s voters indicated they are voting for him as opposed to voting against Joe Biden. This contrasts with Joe Biden only having 38% percent of his voters saying they are voting for him. Of Biden’s voters, 60% say they are voting against Trump. Ask Mitt Romney how that worked out.
Earlier this month, a Last month, a new poll from ABC News/Washington Post found that voters are far more energized to ensure they get to the polls to vote for Trump, a sign that voter turnout may hurt Biden is critical states.
When voters answered the survey by saying they supported Trump, the pollsters followed-up by asking: ” Would you definitely vote for Trump, probably vote for him, or just possibly vote for him?”
A whopping 87 percent of registered Trump supporters said they would definitely vote for Trump, versus eight percent who said they would probably vote for him, and five percent who said they would possibly vote for him.
When pollsters asked the same question to voters who said they support Biden, only 74 percent said they would definitely vote for him. Fifteen percent said they would probably vote for him and 11 percent said they would possibly vote for him.