Poll Of 15 Battleground States Confirms Democrats Worst Fears
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As the Senate impeachment trial is underway, a new CNN 2020 election poll has been released, showing how President Trump would perform in head to head matchups against top Democratic presidential candidates in key battleground states.
The poll spells doom for Democrats and even CNN is admitting it.
"Look at these same general election matchups in the 15 closest states in 2016. It's Biden 49% to Trump's 47%, Sanders' 49% to Trump's 49% and Trump's 49% to Warren's 48%," CNN reports. "All of those are within the margin of error. This follows last month's poll when Trump was doing better in the battlegrounds than overall. It's the same story that we saw in our polling last month. A look at the national picture likely undersells Trump's strength."
As the 2020 election nears, the American people are asking themselves if President Trump will be able to win once again.
Check out what the Daily Wire reported:
As the 2020 Democratic Party presidential candidates battle it out for the nomination, politicos must also pay close attention to President Donald Trump’s approval rating across the 50 states. While Trump’s national approval rating has been hovering below 50% for his entire presidency, it was on the upswing for the beginning of the summer before faltering a bit toward the end of July. The president’s approval rating recovered a bit in September before falling again as news of the Ukraine phone call incident rattled national headlines. Since the onset of congressional Democrats’ partisan impeachment efforts, it has more or less stabilized in the mid-40s. If anything, Trump’s approval rating has recently been on the affirmative rise, as evidence continues to mount that Democrats have overplayed their hand on impeachment.
Many president's in the past have had somewhat of an easy time getting re-elected, especially if their approval rating is around the 50% mark.
The Daily Wire continues:
Historically, presidents have fared well in re-election campaigns when they maintain approval ratings above 50%. This president, to be sure, has never had such an approval rating at any point throughout his presidency. But President Trump oversees a soaring economy, with record-low unemployment rates, and has a hardened base of core supporters. One must also never forget the sheer power of incumbency: Since FDR, only Presidents Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush were elected and then subsequently not re-elected four years later.
As of January 21, 2020, the RealClearPolitics average for Trump’s national job approval rating sits at 44.0% — or 8.6% underwater. To be sure, many still have hardened views — in both directions — about the president, but there is still a core nucleus of moderate, independent, largely suburban swing voters who will help determine the outcome of the 2020 presidential election.
Henry Olsen of The Washington Post had an incisive piece in November that analyzed the relationship between Trump’s approval ratings and his re-election chances. According to Olsen’s historically informed analysis, Trump would need his approval rating to rise to roughly 46% – 47% in order to confidently position himself to capture the Electoral College next November. That ought not to be too difficult, given Trump’s current polling, although it will require the president to truly focus on reaching out to persuadable moderates, independents, and suburban swing voters. To that end, I have previously offered some unsolicited advice to the Trump campaign: Focus on a safety and security agenda to appeal to these persuadable voters.
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